Energy Wars
It's
been freezing the past week here in Zurich, a situation I'm sharing
with the rest of Europe as a brutal cold snap extends from London to
Warsaw. And just as the chill is forcing us all to huddle around our
heaters, a crisis is unfolding that could cut off the energy keeping us
warm.
Since New Years Day, Russia has been steadily restricting
its gas supply to Europe amid a dispute with Ukraine, which it accuses
of siphoning off gas in transit. Now seven days later, exports of
Russian gas to Europe via Ukraine appear to have completely stopped.
With the EU dependant on Russia for about a quarter of its total gas
supplies, 80 percent of which is pumped through Ukraine, the situation
is quickly becoming a crisis. It is a crisis many have predicted as
they have warned of Europe's over-dependence on Russian energy.
Russia's state-owned energy company Gazprom has accused Ukraine of stealing 15 percent of gas flowing through that country intended for Western Europe, however the Ukrainian government has insisted that amount is being lost through technical malfunctions only.
A Preview of Things to Come
Even if this energy crisis is resolved, it will still likely be an important lesson for the EU. Analysts have been warning that energy independence
for the block is the most pressing issue it currently faces. With
Russia proving to be an increasingly assertive and sometime hostile
neighbor, the fact that the country could, if it wanted, plunge Europe
into a deep freeze is very worrying. Even these minor disputes over one
pipeline can cause huge disruptions.Now that Serbia’s government has agreed to sell its oil and gas company, NIS, to Russia’s Gazprom, it looks like Russia will achieve its goal of building a pipeline called "South Stream" to send gas directly into the EU. Gazprom has also done similar deals with EU members Italy, Hungary and Bulgaria, all of which is a direct challenge to the European pipeline project Nabucco, which would bring gas to Europe from Iran and Azerbaijan via Turkey, reducing EU dependence on Russia. But the Nabucco project seems to be going nowhere while Russia's plans to build dedicated pipeways to the EU moves quickly ahead.
Russia insists that the Ukraine siphoning off energy is the real threat to EU gas supplies, but foreign policy analysts know better. It is precisely the fact that the EU is reliant on Russia for energy, no matter how or through whom it is supplied, that is worrying to many here.
Comments
STILL CONVINCED RUSSIA SHOULD NOT BE INCLUDED IN THE EU (OR VICE VERSA)??? IF BRUSSELS WANT THE IRISH TO SAY YES, THEN MAYBE THE IDEA TO INCLUDE RUSSIA INTO THE EU IS AN EXCELLENT IDEA!
heh, I think I can assure you that will never, ever happen.